I won’t lie, Wexford is possibly one of the more frustrating tracks in Ireland to judge form. With the heavy rain throughout the week and more scheduled for the weekend, it only hinders the chances of making it a successful study. Saying that however, there are three horses I do fancy for this meeting and here is what I am thinking.
Same system applies folks, one NAP, one NB and one EW to cover every type of punter.
First of all the horse I am confident enough to NAP comes in the form of Western Victory in the 3.40. I know what you’re thinking already, why am I choosing to NAP the most competitive race on the card? Well here is the way I see this race being run.
There is going to be a mighty battle for the lead here, with Western Victory, Djingle, Ornua, Paloma Blue, Western Point and Western Victory, all known for their front running tactics. The rest of the field looks out of their depth and will struggle to keep up.
The soundest jumper would be the NAP choice, while the others remain close up in behind. Jumping standard is what will win this race. Course form will mean absolutely nothing in this race and although the ground could end up being bottomless, they should still go a good pace. One jumping error will be fatal in terms of a chance of winning. The best jumper in that regard is Western Victory and although we may be racing in the not so “Sunny South-East”, the feature race of the day should go to Western Victory.
The “next best” of the day will be exciting not just for me if it comes in, but exciting for the people of East Galway. This is, of course, the Shane Ryder trained Garrai Phaidin in the 5.20.
This is interesting for the fact that Ryder himself only has two runners at the meeting, both lining up in the one race. Not only that but he is sending these horses on a round trip of over 350km.
Clear Left will need another run at least, for the handicap mark to be lowered enough to be winning, therefore the big hope must be with Garrai Phaidin here.
A winner last time at Kilbeggan, he was only upped three pounds and remains on a pretty decent mark. I would be confident in saying that Shane Ryder and his team will have this horse primed and ready to run well here.
Finally, the each way selection comes in the the first race. Bear in mind that the prices have not been released yet I cannot confirm whether the horses are of any value when they open up. This was evidently seen with Minella Away opening up at 9-4. Saying that however with this horse’s record and it’s of 66-1, 100-1 and 80-1, surely there has to be some sort of value with this pick?
This is, of course, Toor Hawk in the 2.00 race.
Bad ground in general looks to be this horse’s strong point. An impressive fourth behind Getaway Gorgeous last time here in bottomless ground, was an eye catcher. The third has since won and this horse could be seriously overlooked here.
It has a layoff to overcome but it should be no problem as that run came after a nine month break, so it goes well fresh. Others have fitness to their name and that should mean that an each way market could speak in our favour here.
Although it may not be Toor Hawk’s day, there is a great chance of it being each way value.