22 races put through the wringer!

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Some excellent winners for this section yesterday, even if the ground at Ludlow went as fast as the M6, which saw a host of non-runners and the racing ruined. It’s simply that time of year, when everything is on the turn. It will settle down as we move through October and the racing section of The World Of Sport will become exceptionally profitable.

We have three meetings again this afternoon although Ffos Las will be a trial for man and beast. They passed a morning inspection but it’ll be ugly stuff down there, it always is.

EXETER

1-30 – A Conditional Jockey’s Handicap and the lot are on the drift. Not a race to be getting involved in.

2-00 – Down to 10 runners but the market is simply all about SHINOBI. It is 20/1 bar three, the Bailey trained runner is 8/11 > 4/6 and if he stands up, he wins.

2-30 – The first of my two rated races and we’ve seen the third favourite pulled out, which has resulted in adjustments to the tissue.

It was impossible for me to produce an accurate rating for the current favourite, GA LAW, who arrives having had just three runs. We have another, COSMIC KING, running second time following a wind-op, who has raced just four times in the last 18 months, failing to finish in two of them.

Both are being supported, despite the adjustments, GA LAW 11/4 > 15/8, COSMIC KING 12/1 > 7/1.

It is a typical early season handicap, and a reason I do not bet using my figures until November.

MR MEDIC looks best of my top three rated 11/2 > 7/2 but I’ll not be betting.

3-00 – My Post Racing Subscribed members were advised earlier this morning, of one OMM (overnight market mover). That horse runs here, WHO WHAT WHEN – 4/1 > 9/4 advised, now just 15/8. I have punted this horse myself today not just because of the punt, but because in the face of this move, they are trying to give puppies away with the rest of them!

3-30 – This race was always in danger of the market collapsing. The overnight favourite, EYEOFTHESCORPION, had only run 24 hours previously and make the market null as he’d have been odds on, had he raced. He doesn’t, the market has collapsed, and everything now looks like a “mover”.

Two horses are looking to have been backed though….both were huge prices this morning:

  • SHANROE TIC TEC – 25/1 > 8/1
  • ZARAZENA – 25/1 > 9/1

That is more than “adjustment” and whilst BOSSINEY BAY does look the right favourite now, a place punt either or both of that pair might produce a shekel of profit.

4-00 – Down to 10 runners and whilst a few are being sniffed around, if I had to point to one being nibbled at, it would be GLOBAL WONDER, the 5/1 has gone, now in to 7/2 and the only runner that looks a true play. The 20/80 is still a viable play.

4-30 – The second of my Rated races and sad to see the one I thought would win it taken out. OCEAN COVE was second highest rated and third favourite, running for a yard bang in form. Now down to six runners and a race in which only one has winning form on the going they’ll face.

Nothing is being backed, purely adjustments to the market following that withdrawal and now a race I will just watch.

5-00 – They are all over GLORY AND HONOUR here. He is now 11/10 from an opening 13/8 to win this Bumper and the trainer has a 40% strike rate with such runners here. Looks home and hosed.

FFOS LAS

12-45 – My Post Racing subscribed membership were advised this morning that GOLDENCARD was the OMM….5/1 > 5/2….now 2/1 and it looks “proper” as the tissue favourite is now 10/11 > 13/8….totally friendless.

With the next two on the tissue having more P’s against their names than a bad Scrabble rack, it looks safe to say one of them wins it….most likely GOLDENCARD.

1-15 – The market is suggesting one of three wins this:

  • TRUCKERS PASS – 2/1 > 13/8
  • DO YOUR JOB – 10/3 > 11/4
  • BROOKSWAY FAIR – 9/1 > 6/1

It’s not a case that any one of that trio is strong, more a case of the rest are weak, all drifting.

Dutch to make that profit.

1-50 – LEGENDS GOLD is the winner, if the tissue is the guide. This one opened 5/4 and has been backed at all rates into 10/11….it’s just consistent money, rather than a plunge as such. They cannot give any of the other four away and so, it looks a kosher punt.

2-20 – It’s another Rebecca Curtis trained runner attracting support here. FINANCIAL OUTCOME – 11/2 > 4/1 is the most fancied of those at the head of the market but an outsider is also very much attracting support. VIRGINIA CHICK is 18/1 > 8/1 and strong. Most likely e.w. players getting stuck into that one but my feeling is, this horse is a hurdler, not a chaser.

2-50 – The third favourite has been taken out and the front two on the tissue now look strong. BLACKFINCH was short before the withdrawal, odds on now. Backing odds on in novice events will have you in the poor house pretty sharpish and I’d rather have a 20/80 DALKINGSTOWN.

3-20 – It would very much appear that Christian Williams is out to land a double here today. He is responsible for GOLDENCARD in the opener and his UNO MAS is 13/1 > 11/10 here. The rest are drifting like barges.

3-50 – It looks to all about the Pipe runner, MAGGIES MOGUL. The 3/1 > 13/8 suggests the horse is ready for debut, despite being off for 207 days, but I’d be wary….Pipe is just 1-14 with Bumper runners here, compared to the 36% strike rate owned by Twiston-Davies. He trains the current third favourite MYKONOS AMMOS, to be ridden by Tom Bellamy…he has a 28% strike rate all rides at this track. Bumpers are funny things though and generally best watched.

AYR

12-30 – Heavy ground up here and punting flat racing at this time of year, even if it was proper flat racing ground, is an anathema to me so advising you of anything going on comes with a wealth warning.

They are asking you to take odds on about BURSCOUGH, who comes here having had two runs and whilst he looks the most likely winner if he handles it, what’s the point?

1-05 – I’ll just skim these races because if I had my way, people would be banned from betting on them. FIREWATER is being punted, 8/1 > 6/1 but this critter has only managed two wins from 22 starts to date. He may well make it three as he handles mucky stuff underfoot but he’d be a place play only.

1-40 – Two being supported….BIG CITY 16/1 > 13/2 and PERFECT SWISS 10/3 > 9/4. SORBONNE was played early doors 5/1 > 11/4 but you can have 10/3 now….it would appear that if the market is correct, one of that trio wins the race.

2-10 – JOHN KIRKUP 4/1 > 5/2….QUICK LOOK 10/1 > 6/1….they would be the pair attracting support here. All of the bigger priced ones are drifting, as is the second favourite, DANZAN….2/1 > 11/4. The layers are not anticipating a result that favours them.

2-40 – A Class 6 that has seen three taken out and minute adjustments made to the tissue. If you chucked a bone, this lot would chase it. Not a race I’d ever consider playing.

3-10 – UGO GREGORY follows up his recent win if the market is right….which it was about this one nine days ago, when it was advised a likely winner to you….11/8 > E….it’s 4/1 bar now, all the others being taken out on a tide.

3-40 – A Class 6 slog, in the mud, over a marathon trip, with only one in here having winning form on heavy, ASCOT DAY….who has never won over this trip….and they’ve taken him out.

They are backing the 3-y-o maiden, QUEEN OF CAMELOT, placed only once from four runs on turf….15/2 > 7/2….not a penny for anything else….ball now in your court….me personally, I will watch it win, if it does.

Best of luck!

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