It is still very early season but I do like the shape of these two games tonight.
The first is Accrington at home to Fleetwood.
I am most definitely favouring the home team here as they are currently averaging 2 points per home game whilst Fleetwood average 0.
At home so far Accrington have been very good but Fleetwood are certainly struggling on the road. Fleetwood do hold the upper hand on head to heads right now though, 2-1 with another two ending drawn.
Betfair has the away side marginal favourites but I’m not really interested in the outcome, I am looking at the potential for goals and for both teams to hit the back of the net.
Accrington have scored in all home games to date and Fleetwood have not been shy in front of goal when playing away, scoring at least one in all games.
When playing at home Accrington are currently conceding 1.67 goals per game, with Fleetwood conceding an average of 2.
- +2.5 GOALS
Two teams struggling down at the bottom of Division 1 meet tonight, Burton hosting Rochdale. Rochdale are poor away from home averaging just 0.67 goals per game whilst Burton are hitting the back of the net at least twice per home game. when it comes to points, Rochdale have yet to take one home with them but Burton average 1.5 points per home game.
The two teams have met five times before and it’s Burton leading 3-2 on head to heads, not a draw as yet. I do not see a draw tonight.
Three of the last four games between them have produced goals for both sides and to date only Ipswich have stopped Rochdale from scoring at least one.
Burton are pretty much free scoring but awful in defence, conceding four in their last two games, whilst scoring two themselves.
- +2.5 GOALS