Poor racing, small fields, but I’m sure we’ll find something!

0

It is nothing to shout home about today but many a time we’ve found some brass in the muck. We cannot have racing like that we saw across the last three days, every day, that number of good NH horses simply doesn’t exist but every race must have a winner. Finding them on days like this might need a Geiger counter and sonar but I’ve come up with a few bits and bobs that hopefully lead to profit.

AYR

12-30 – This race is all about one horse and Post Racing subscribed members were advised this morning that it was being very well punted.

1-00 – Just one horse being supported here, too, UNOHU 4/6 > 1/2 and not a sausage for anything else at all in this race….looks like two opening bankers for Placepot players.

1-35 – I’m happy with my figures for this race and it’s all very much “as per the Newsletter”.

2-10 – The front three on the tissue are strong, possibly EMPIRE STEEL marginally the strongest:

  • EMPIRE STEEL – 2/1 > 15/8 > 2/1 > 15/8 > 7/4
  • MAYO STAR – 3/1 > 5/2 > 11/4
  • SKANDIBURG – 5/2 > 11/4 > 3/1 > 11/4

A dutch only brings home 17% profit and I’m not entirely sure you could rule out HEAR NO EVIL, despite a small drift 4/1 > 6/1

One I’ll just be watching.

2-40 – A Class 5 Handicap Chase and this morning I’ve seen the market adjusting as a result of the morning second favourite, ASKING FOR ANSWERS, being taken out.

If I were to point to one that looks more than a simple adjustment, it would be SLAINTE MHOR 16/1 > 8/1. Wears first time cheekpieces today, is totally unexposed over fences (just two runs), and if have a spare £2 I’ll have one e.w.

3-10 – My second and final rated race from this track and sine my morning Newsletter went out I have seen a move for DOYEN BREED, rates fifth best on my figures, is a maiden over hurdles and so impossible to rate accurately, but runs second time for a yard in tremendous form, having moved to Sandy Thomson, from Lucy Normile.

My top rated horse has obviously gone racing for a laugh as it’s now 12/1 > 20/1 and so, my own play here now will be rated horses 2, 3, 5….bringing this new favourite, who is obviously well fancied to break its maiden this afternoon.

3-40 – A Conditional and Amateur riders Bumper and about as appealing as a betting medium, as an afternoon of trepanning. The market is positive the winners comes from FLY BY MILAN / HIGHSTAKESPLAYER who trade 5/4 & 13/8 respectively, 12/1 bar….but someone likes TRAVAIL D’ORFEVRE 25/1 > 12/1, someone else likes GET THE FACTS 40/1 > 14/1 and having let FUDGEMAN drift from 25/1 > 33/1, that one is now 20/1.

Nope, I’ll have three holes in the head, please.

FAKENHAM

12-45 – They are still coming for the OMM advised to Post Racing members in the morning Newsletter but they are starting to take an interest in ROSERIVER HAS 16/1 > 9/1, who was fancied to run well last time out.

1-15 – The OMM is now weak as they come for THOMAS TODD 7/2 > 9/4, and CHESTERFIELD KING 16/1 > 18/1 > 20/1 > 11/1 > 10/1.

I’m no longer interested in this for punting purposes.

1-50 – Down to three runners, two are fancied, if the market isn’t telling us porkies, and this kind of race is not interest to me at all.

2-20 – My only rated race here this afternoon and for whatever reason, my top rated is totally friendless in the market 9/2 > 8/1. Nothing in the front four on the tissue is weak….or strong….but I am seeing money here for and outsider, FRIENDS DON’T ASK 20/1 > 10/1.

I’ll just work as mentioned in the morning Newsletter.

2-50 – The market is directing us in the path of two, GROUSEMAN 11/4 > 2/1 and CAN’T STOP NOW 10/1 > 6/1, the Alan King hurdling debutante, who opened up favourite last night, 7/4 > 15/8 > 2/1….cost £55k after it won on the flat last month for Richard Hannon. Still an entire it could be he needs much further over hurdles as he was winning over 14 furlongs on the flat which suggests he aint got bags of speed.

I’ll dutch that pair of morning movers.

3-20 – The only horse for money is, again, a big priced one, INTO THE WOODS 14/1 > 8/1, and he arrives sporting form figures reading P, 0, P, P, – 7….you really would need to know what the trainer knows, wouldn’t you?

COURT JURADO 5/2 > 2/1 and GOLD FIELD 3/1 > 9/4 are not movers, neither are they weak.

A near 50% profit dutching the three mentioned?

Best of luck!

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