Here’s hoping Weisberger chips to win – my drei vom Abschlag

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No profits to report from last week’s article I am sorry to say but all three did make the cut and they weren’t that far away at the end – we live to fight another day but I morally have to add that the bookmakers hold a massive advantage with 160 starters and a place the first 8 (on a good day) so please, please treat this as a bit of fun if you plan to watch the golf – and not a way to make an additional oncome (I wish).

On to this week and yes, I am a day later than normal – but for good reason, with the European Open not starting until Saturday and finishing Monday (54 holes) for some weird reason. To be staged on the North course at Green Eagle in Germany we won’t be seeing the list of megastars of recent weeks, but it still looks competitive stuff and if we can find a place or better I will be a happy man.  A par 72 measuring in at 7,544 yards don’t let the looks deceive you – this is tough and I doubt I could afford the golf balls I would lose if I ever got to play here. Seventeen (yes 17!) of the eighteen holes have water of some kind, the greens will take more reading than War And Peace – in a foreign language – and hats off to any player who gets round here without throwing in a few Anglo Saxon words along the way. The record score is 14 under which tells a story, and I doubt that will be bettered here – but good luck one and all, and may your drives be straight ones (unlike mine). Before I make my selections, I have to add that value is the name of the game – Paul Casey is the most obvious winner after his success here when the event was last held (2019) but at 6/1 I cannot bring myself to get involved – that is a shocking price in a huge field in a sport where it can all go horribly wrong in a matter of seconds.   

Selections with reasoning:

***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around – and make sure you only partake non-runner no bet – covid has seen last minute withdrawals all season and we don’t want to be throwing money away

1pt each way Jordan Smith 33/1 best price, top seven places (most bookmakers)

Patriotism strikes with my first two selections Englishmen but there is every reason to think the 2017 winner of this event can get involved in the finish as long as he gets off to a decent start. A very good third in Denmark last weekend, we know for a fact he is at the top of his game, and at the age of 28 we may not have seen the best of him just yet. Despite just the one European tour win to date he has still amassed close to £3.5 million in prize money (don’t you wish you were good at golf), and although perhaps an unlikely winner, he can hopefully land the place part of our bet at a big price and see us remain in the black. His drives are huge at over 300 yards on average and more than enough to get competitive, and if he gets the magic stick working he could well surprise those far shorter in the betting here.

1pt each way Laurie Canter 25/1 best price, top seven places (most bookmakers).

If ever a player looked as if he was coming back to from then Laurie is it with a very solid eighth in Denmark last week, and if he is on his game again here, we won’t be far away at the finish. The 2020 season showed that he can blast a big drive when needed (and that will most certainly be needed here with so many par 5’s to attack), and with the putter looking hot at Himmerland now could be his time to strike. There is no doubt this course will play to his strengths and he looks overpriced to me after his recent promising efforts. Averages over 304 yards off the tee meaning all the par 5s can be attacked at will, if he keeps it on the straight and narrow, he won’t be far way where it matters.

1pt each way Bernd Wiesberger 14/1 best price, top eight places (most bookmakers).

I will admit I had hoped for a better price for the Austrian but it is what it is, and after winning in Denmark a shade comfortably last week I suppose it was to be expected. At six foot two it comes as no surprise that he can live with the bigger hitters off the tee (possibly ten yards short of his rivals), but his short game is improving all the time and that may be what gets him into contention again now. Winning back to back tournaments won’t be easy but better still, he finished fifth here in 2019 and brings course knowledge to the table, and with these treacherous greens that could yet prove to be the deciding factor.

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