This section did the business yesterday with a 25/1 place and a 4/1 winner. Several meetings to work with today and at Windsor I’m liking the book of rides Tom Marquand has:
- CANONIZED (6-00)
- KNOCKABOUT QUEEN (6-30)
- ALPHONSE KARR (7-00)
- EDRAAK (7-30)
- THRILL SEEKER (8-00)
- INTO THE FIRE (8-30)
The first named is odds on so I’d drop that one, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN is 7/1 > 10/1, has a high draw and I’d favour low in that and ALPHONSE KARR has been weak on the tissue all morning.
Fun Punters might consider three doubles and a treble the last three named, the first two of which have been well supported this morning. The last named is a Haggas runner. There have only been two previous running’s of that race and Haggas took it with a 3-y-o last year and INTO THE FIRE has seen support this morning 3/1 > 9/4.
When Archie Watson sends one up here and has Tudhope up, it wins 40% of the time but 4/6 about a juvenile (CHIEF’S WILL 1-25), floats no boats here and I can afford to let it win unsupported. I’d rather have a place play my MMM.
At Carlisle it can pay to follow the Tinkler/McManoman team….4-12 when working together here and the jockey has a superb 32% strike rate (eight winners from 25 rides). They have STAR PRIZE (2-30), and STRANGERONTHESHORE (4-50), up for this meeting and whilst they have been nibbling away at the big prices about STAR PRIZE (33/1, 25/1, 22/1, 16/1, 18/1), it’s STRANGERONTHESHORE interesting me most. Tinkler sends his 3-y-o handicappers here only when they have a winning chance. In the last five years he is 3-7 here with this type of horse and the 9/1 suggests a 20/80. The Easterby’s have farmed this race in recent years, Tim and Mick winning five of the last nine running’s between them and that makes GOLDEN MELODY also very interesting. Reverse Exacta?
Placepots are one of the best Fun Punters bets and if you get the first five legs up, then that last race takes on a whole new dimension, doesn’t it!
CARLISLE PLACEPOT SUGGESTION
1-25 – Only four previous running’s of this race and we’ve seen three winning favourites with the other coming home in third place. I doubt Archie Watson has sent CHIEF’S WELL on a near 600 mile round trip, to go home empty handed and he’s a Banker to place here.
1-55 – We have another odds on shot here, that has also put in the miles getting here and going home again afterwards. VERREAUX EAGLE is another we’ll have in as a Banker as the only two previous running’s have also seen the favourite winning or placing.
2-30 – Division 1 of a Class 6 and if any grade of racing is going to scupper the Fun Punters, it’s Class 6 racing. This though, over the last 13 seasons has seen the favourite finishing 2, 6, 1, 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5….I think it fair to say that makes SHACKABOOAH, currently the 2/1 favourite, a cert to place? I’m going to suggest we pop two in here though. LANGHOLM has been supported in the last 15 minutes 4/1 > 5/2, whilst SHACKABOOAH has been easy to back 6/4 > 2/1. Everything else in this 11 runner strong field is easy on the tissue.
3-05 – If one leg is going to scupper us, it’s this one. I’m popping three in here because it’s that bad a race….I trust none of them.
Everything at the front of this tissue has been drifting all morning, COOL DANDY 3/1 > 9/2, FIRCOMBE HALL 11/4 > 9/2, SHARRABANG 3/1 > 9/2 and RUSSCO 7/2 > 11/2 and so I’m going to work with one of that quartet, with two thrown in that have been nibbled at, at bigger prices….I’m presuming place money for both REDZONE and ROYAL REDEMPTION.
This is the one race today, you cross the lot.
3-40 – DR T J ECKLENBURG did us all a turn last time out and in this now six runner event, and with two head and shoulders better on the tissue (that named being one of them 9/4 > 15/8), I’ll trust Tudhope/O’Meara to get the job done here.
4-15 – A tricky little six runner jobby. Early money for MOLINARI has dried up and having been 9/2 > 5/2, he’s now 7/2 and a right drifter. My top rated horse here is PUCKLE, and my figures have been working so well lately, I’ll trust them here.
- LEG 1 – 3
- LEG 2 – 7
- LEG 3 – 4, 6
- LEG 4 – UNNAMED FAV, 1, 3
- LEG 5 – 4
- LEG 6 – 2