Close but most certainly no cigar last week with our 100/1 shot proving that odds are no burden to success and going so close to landing the place parts of our bets, but it wasn’t to be – though do make a note of young Guido Migliozzi, I genuinely believe he has what it takes to win a major in the years ahead, and I want to be on him at a huge price when he does!
Before anyone asks, yes I did have a look at the Irish Open this weekend but the reality is my suggestions are fact and statistics based (it has worked over the years, believe me), and as much as we may love our golf over here, the details and history available to me over the pond far outweigh the poor information I can scrape together in Europe and therefore we will focus on the wonderfully named Rocket Mortgage Classic from the Detroit Golf Club. We have 13 of the top 50 players in the World (according to rankings) taking part here so this is no cakewalk and, with 13 major winners and 94 PGA Tour winners in the 156-man field, we should be in for some fireworks.
A Par 72, measuring in at 7,340 yards, it’s tight – no room for straying off the tee at a Donald Ross designed course, and accuracy is the key word if you want to finish anywhere near to the podium.
Selections with reasoning:
***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around – and make sure you only partake non-runner no bet – covid has seen last minute withdrawals all season and we don’t want to be throwing money away. DO shop around for best odds and best place terms and any special offers with the bookmakers to steal the most value.
1pt each way Kevin Kisner 33/1 best price, top 8 places William Hill.
I was surprised to see the price of the 37 year old after an excellent fifth in the Travelers last week, where he shot two rounds of 63, and I had to look deeper to try and find out why – and I still don’t know. His third here last year proves he handles the course as well as any, and he arrives here in great form, making 33/1 pretty generous if he can repeat those efforts this weekend. He hasn’t been at his best for a while but certainly looks to be getting back to the sort of form that has brought him three victories on the PGA tour and 39 top ten finishes for over $23 million in career earnings, though we need a top eight finish here to collect some winnings.
1pt each way Joaquin Niemann 23/1 best price, top 8 places Betfair Sportsbook.
Twenty-one starts this season and just the one missed cut suggests we are talking about Mr Reliable here, and with a fifth here in 2019 my hopes are pretty high of another decent performance. The Chilean has been in good form in 2021 and can already boast a second in the Sony Open in Hawaii and in the Sentry Tournament of Champions as well as a respectable 31st in the US Open, and with the course suiting him ideally (unlike some players here), I expect another bold showing from the improving 22-year-old who is younger than some of my suits.
1pt each way Bryson DeChambeau 15/2 top 8 William Hill I hate going with the jolly in golf (and sometimes the horses too) but after winning this last year it seems fair to say Bryson has an outstanding chance. I do have a fear he may use this event to experiment ahead of the Open but hopefully I have that all wrong. There are four par 5’s here he can attack with his ridiculous drive though I am wary that he can spray the ball on occasion (by their standards, not mine sadly) but he was fifth here in 2019 and clearly finds the course to his liking. With some of the bigger guns sitting this one out, he has to be hopeful of a follow up success, though sadly he is priced accordingly.