Well that was pretty frustrating – two of our picks played superb golf for most of the weekend posting some impressive cards, yet somehow they still missed out on a place in the money as far as we are concerned, and we walked away drawing nothing from the dreaded bookmakers.
We lick our wounds and move on I suppose with the WGC-Fedex St. Jude invitational next on the list, and here’s hoping we get that little bit of luck needed to claw back some cash.
Played at the TPC Southwind in Memphis, we have a star studded field worthy of any major (with the odd exception such as Jon Rahm), and with the two previous winners being Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas, we can second guess we are talking about a big-name Champion once again. A 7,233 yard course with just the two par fives (pretty unusual), scrambling is key to success, though luckily we have a bit of history to work with form when it was simply known as the St. Judes Classic. Naturally, my original list had a lot more names on it (Collin Morikawa, for starters), but decisions have to be made, and these are the three that made my final cut – for their ability to play well here, and their value for money odds.
Let’s go find ourselves a winner…
Selections with reasoning:
***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around – and make sure you only partake non-runner no bet – covid has seen last minute withdrawals all season and we don’t want to be throwing money away. DO shop around for best odds and best place terms and any special offers with the bookmakers to steal the most value, and DO check the exchanges for bigger prices – I can’t put them on here as they differ by the minute, but looking at the three selections this week (11/1, 22/1, and 75/1), as I write they are available at 12.5/1, 24/1, and 149/1 respectively!
1pt each way Brooks Koepka 11/1 best price, top 7 places Paddy Power.
There is a pattern emerging here and I won’t pretend I don’t like Brooks as a golfer and perhaps as a person (abuse from fans of a certain other golfer expected). He is undoubtedly one of the best golfers on the planet at his best, and has recently been quoted as saying he is now back to 100% which must scare the living daylights out of his rivals. His last three vents have all seen top 6 finishes including two majors, and I see no obvious reason why that run can’t continue here. He has played this course seven times in recent years, finishing 1, 10, 24, 5, 1, 20, and 12 so we would have been paid out three times which in golf is a decent enough return, and if you shop around you may even find yourself a bigger price.
1pt each way Daniel Berger 22/1 best price, top 7 places Bet365 and others.
If anyone is overpriced then this is your man. He won here in 2016 and 17, and was runner-up to Justin Thomas last year (despite an opening round of 71) , and invariably hits a top ten finish in most of the big events where he seems to rise to the occasion. There is no doubt this course suits his game perfectly, which will only add to his confidence, and with his stats here showing him in the top 12 for just about any question you care to ask (his best three events here have seen him ranked first, first, and eighth for strokes gained Tee to Green), I am loving that price and am more than hopeful we are going to collect for a place at least.
1pt each way Justin Rose 75/1 best price top 7 places Bet365
Every tipping article needs a big priced option just in case, and Justin Rose may well surprise a few of these at a monster of a price (do check the exchanges for something even bigger with a bit of luck). Justin is a likeable fellow who almost always looks as if the next win is just around the corner even if it rarely works out that way, but it is his one tournament here that drew him to my attention. He may have “only” finished eleventh here in 2019, but remember that was his first look at the course in anger, and the general thought is that course experience is pretty important on this track. His average score for a round was 68.25 which is outstanding for a course where some of the intricacies are a bit of an unknown, and if he can put it all in and keep his focus, he can give us a good run for our money at a “working man’s” price.