Cheltenham have surprised me so far, but it could be a tough gig away at Burton tonight. These two sides have never met before so we do not have any stats to help us spot a hoodoo, or bogey team.
Considering they have more or less the same bunch of lads that won the League Two title last term, Cheltenham have done good work but we see this every season, with a honeymoon period quickly ending and reality that they have stepped up a division creeping in.
Cheltenham had to go into extra time on Tuesday to get a result on penalties against Gillingham, in the League Cup and an away trip to a side that have won four and drawn four of their last 10 games at home, both league and pre-season (beat Leicester 3-1 on pens), might find their legs out.
The league table, as young as it is, shows us that Burton have started brightly, winning three of their first four starts, sitting sixth in the table, with Cheltenham winning one, drawing one and losing two, sitting 18th albeit just two points off top six.
Under Hasselbaink, Burton have become a side that gets stuck in, play direct football and like to get the ball into the box quickly. Playing this way got them 12 wins from their last 22 games last season, which saw them rise from 24th to 16th in the league.
Cheltenham don’t hang around, either. They have scored in each of their last five games but they have also conceded in those five, too. In fact BTTS (both teams to score), has paid out in six of their last seven games. If Cheltenham are as poor again tonight from set plays as they were against Gillingham, it could be a tough evening but defending was a strength last season so hopefully they have worked on that.
Last weekend Burton suffered as a result of injuries and took a 3-0 whooping at the hands of Cambridge United, whilst Cheltenham have managed to avoid getting beaten in eight of their last 11 games. I’m fancying this might end in a draw tonight.
Cheltenham have been the first team to score in 50% of their last 10 games, whilst Burton have managed that in just 30% and Callum Wright (Cheltenham), has netted first goal in the last two games for Cheltenham.
A couple of bets you might like to consider:
- BTTS / DRAW @ 10/3
- CALLUM WRIGHT TO SCORE FIRST AND 1-1 @ 68/1
I’m doing the Fun Punters stuff tomorrow and will have an acca up on the site late morning.