Today’s Ratings for Ayr, Worcester and Sedgefield – 28/09/21

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I have four rated races below, two from Ayr (they look crackers!), and one each from the NH meetings taking place at Worcester and Sedgefield. They are early “sighters” but I could not resist. I’ve got the NH buzz like you would not believe. 

WHAT THE ICONS NEXT TO A RATED HORSES NAME MEAN

  1. * – SIGNIFIES A HORSE HAVING WON ON THE GOING AS DESCRIBED WHEN RACE RATED
  2. $ – INDICATES THE BEST DRAWN HORSES
  3. OMM – INDICATES OVERNIGHT MARKET MOVER
  4. BRF – BOTTOM RATED FAVOURITE
  5. T – HORSE HAVING TRAVELLED A ROUND TRIP OF 300 MILES OR MORE TO RACE
  6. H – INDICATES THE HORSE IS WEARING FIRST TIME HEADGEAR (BLINKERS, HOOD, ETC)
  7. W – RACING FIRST TIME SINCE A WIND OPERATION
  8. W2 – SECOND RUN SINCE WIND SURGERY
  9. 3 – INDICATES 3-Y-O IN ALL AGED HANDICAP

STAKE MANAGEMENT

  1. DUTCH TOP THREE RATED
  2. IF WE HAVE A NON-RUNNER IN MY TOP THREE, EMPLOY NATURAL PROGRESSION
  3. IF WE HAVE AN OMM OUTSIDE MY TOP THREE, CONSIDER A DUTCH FOUR
  4. IF WE HAVE A BOTTOM RATED FAVOURITE CONSIDER INCLUDING IN A DUTCH FOUR
  5. ADJUST STAKING LEVELS WHEN THE %AGE CHANCE OF SUCCESS IS INCREASED BY VIRTUE OF THE MARKET PRICES OF THOSE AT THE HEAD OF MY RATINGS.

AYR 1-35

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L – H/M

3T$* – LE CHEVAL RAPIDE….+12
T* – BIG LES….+10
T* – JOHN KIRKUP….+9
3T* – TIPPERARY TIGER….+8
$ – CHOOKIE DUNEDIN….+8
3T$* – PIVOTING….+8
3 – RORY….+3
(OMM), 3T* – BLIND BEGGAR….-8
(OMM), 3WT – COPPER QUEEN….-9
T* – AFTER JOHN….-9
T$* – QUICK LOOK….-10
T* – LORD OBERON….-11
SOUND OF IONA….-27
T – TRUE MASON….-32

STAKE MANAGEMENT APPLIED: DUTCH – TOP THREE PLUS HIGHEST RATED OMM

SCRIBBLINGS:

ONLY THREE PREVIOUS RUNNING’S OF THIS RACE – NO TRENDS

AYR 3-20

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L – M – H

3T – DANCING TO WIN….+20
$* – REDARNA….+13
* – BLACK FRIDAY….+10
T$* – COLD STARE….+10
T* – SHAWAAMEKH….+8
T – TRUE BLUE MOON….+6
T$ – DUTCH DECOY….+4
TOMMY G….+4
T* – ZIP….-6
(OMM), 3T* – WOBWOBWOB…-11
T$ – HAJJAM….-22
T – PARALLEL WORLD….-36

STAKE MANAGEMENT APPLIED: DUTCH – TOP THREE PLUS OMM

SCRIBBLINGS:

ONLY THREE PREVIOUS RUNNING’S OF THIS RACE – NO TRENDS

WORCESTER 3-28

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

* – BLUE SANS….+10
* – I’M SO BUSY….+10
* – TRANSLINK….+5
VELASCO….-17
* – OUR ROCKSTAR….-19
* – ENVOL DE LA COUR….-27
CREMANT….-40
RUSSIAN SERVICE….-40
STEADY AWAY….-40

STAKE MANAGEMENT APPLIED: DUTCH – TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS:

NO PREVIOUS RUNNING OF THIS RACE – NO TRENDS

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