I am not even going to give last week’s golf the benefit of much of a mention other than to say it was farcical, reduced to 36 holes because of the weather and with numerous last second withdrawals (understandably) changing the entire conception of the event, and I just hope your bookmakers refunded your bets (as some did) – imagine having a bet on a three mile chase to find it turned in to a five-furlong sprint – madness and the event that took place is most certainly not the one we all placed our bets on.
This week we have a higher quality event to look at as the World’s best turn out at the Albany golf Club in the Bahamas (it’s a tough life eh), for the Tiger Woods hosted Hero World Challenge, we can expect some high-class golf, low scores (Henrik Stenson won it two years ago with -18), and some exciting golf that I will hopefully be watching in detail, as well as in awe.
Ernie Els designed this track and it certainly differs from most with five par-three’s and five par -five’s to negotiate, with bunkers you can get lost in, never to be seen again, for any wayward shots in to the greens.
A standard Par 72, measuring in at 7,302 yards it presents a balanced challenge with the big hitters looking to make their mark on the longer holes, and the finesse players expecting to score on the shorter ones – this could get very interesting.
Selections with reasoning:
***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around – and make sure you only partake non-runner no bet – covid has seen last minute withdrawals all season and we don’t want to be throwing money away. DO shop around for best odds and best place terms and any special offers with the bookmakers to steal the most value, and DO check the exchanges for bigger prices – I can’t put them on here as they differ by the minute. Betfair prices quoted are as indicators only and were correct at the time of writing.
1pt each way Patrick Reed 25/1 Paddy Power top 5 places
Firstly do limit your bets – the five places on offer at best is not the best the bookmakers have ever come up with, you have been warned. On to the golf and what is not to like about the chances here of Patrick Reed? He may not be everybody’s cup of tea but he plays this course better than most with his six appearances in this event yielding finishing positions of third, second, tenth fifth eleventh and third, meaning we would have collected on four occasions, and not many players can match that kind of statistic at any course. Admittedly he has been spraying the ball a bit off the tee recently which I assume is why he is this price, but he showed signs of getting back to form last time out in Dubai and seems a risk well worth taking.
1pt Each Way Collin Morikawa 15/2 most bookmakers top 5 places
I rarely side with the favourite as many of you will know but in this case how can I resist. Anyone who fails to notice the talent of the popular if quiet Californian who is seen by many as the heir to the Tiger Woods crown, hasn’t watched his play or realised that he is still only 24 years old. He is in amazing form recently, winning the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai two weeks ago by an easy four shots, and if he remains in the same form he has to go mighty close here as well. My only negative is there are bigger hitters out there on a course that may unravel to suit the driving machines, but the rest of his game is so solid, and he may get to World Number One if he wins here, which is an added incentive.
1pt each way Justin Rose 25/1 most bookmakers top 5 places
I took a long time before coming up with my third and final selection, trying to balance value against possibilities, but in the end a bit of patriotism left me with the likeable Justin at a bigger price. People seem to easily forget just what a big hitter he is on his day, and although he can blow a bit hot and cold on occasion, when he is on his game he is as good as anyone out there on the tour. Your get the feeling that when he wants to play well, all the old skills are still there, and with a record at this course of 5-3-5 on his last three rounds here, he clearly enjoys the sunshine more than most (don’t we all).