Ron – The Dawn Run, as it is registered and only six years old so there will be no Profiling as such as I require a minimum of 10 years trends/stats in order to produce a selection from those.
The tissue would have you believe that Willie Mullins only has to put a saddle on one to be priced short and the front three on the current tissue, plus the fifth best, all come from Closutton.
I remember in 2019 Mullins arriving mob handed for this and my advice was to perm his in exotics, play them singly etc etc etc and he won it with a 50/1 shot, with his CONCERTISTA 2nd @ 66/1. I had some lovely e-mails following that one.
In 2020 he saddled the winner, the runner up, and the fourth and fifth placed horses.
It is actually pretty pointless looking for a horse to beat the Mullins brigade as he has saddled 15 of the 21 races run at Cheltenham, that are confined to mares. Of the 42 still standing their ground, he is responsible for 14 of them. That is one third of the entire current entry.
This will go to Ireland, it’s just a case of which one but despite the meagre stats/trends I have, I’ll suggest it’s priced a single figure, and with the last three winners all arriving having been beaten the last time before winning this, I’ll put up BRANDY LOVE.
Sean – One again (yawn) the Irish look likely to dominate, though I will also be cheering either of Harry Fry’s mares if he unleashes either Love Envoi or Lady Adare here. I was surprised to see Brandy Love heading the betting for Willie Mullins as he seems far keener on the chances of both Dinoblue and Grangee – unless he was putting us all off that is! The suggestion is less experienced than most having bolted up to win her maiden hurdle at Clonmel by 15 lengths, but her trainer seems to think she has the ability to head straight to Cheltenham without another start. Grangee is an interesting bigger priced alternative and according to jockey Brian Cooper he had them all covered before falling two out, but you never know how much a tumble can affect them mentally, and I will stick with the horse I see as the stable’s number one pick.