Premier League betting advice – 03/04/22

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I enjoyed my lot being top of the league for a few hours yesterday. The best two sides are top of the league and I know that sounds daft but sometimes you do see teams that should be higher a point or 2 adrift but Liverpool and City are 13 points ahead of Chelsea and they in turn 5 points ahead of Arsenal, who are then 3 points ahead of Spurs, with a game in hand.

Spurs have been terrible this season and yet sit 5th in the league so what does that tell you about those below them?

Covid has impacted on the season but it’s gone all very Scottish football now, where 2 sides matter and the rest just show up for games every week.

Up there they have Celtic and Rangers top 2 with 19 points back to the 3rd placed side Hearts.

Outside Liverpool and City, the other Prem sides are just inconsistent, and it makes predicting results fun, not.

WEST HAM V EVERTON

The Hammers are on the slide now, dropping out of the top 7 and today take on an Everton side fighting for their Prem lives. Everton are 3 points off the drop zone but with 3 games in hand of Watford and my Everton friends were texting me thank you messages yesterday after we beat Watford 2-0.

Everton have a ton of problems. They are to cautious early in a game and have only scored 8 goals in the first half of their matches this season. If you are scared to play, you get beat. They have not scored in the first half in 11 of their last 13 games.

West Ham’s confidence is going now though, too. They have lost 2 of their last 3 league games and that’s as many as they had lost in the 9 before those 3.

Everton’s season is very similar to that in the 2003-2004 season when they finished 17th and if they lose today they’ll equal the record they have of losing 16 games in a season. They finished just 6 points off relegation that year, too.

Under Lampard Everton are useless on the road. They have lost all 4 games he has managed away from home, losing by a total of 14-1. If Everton lose today it’ll be the first time they have lost 6 on the bounce in all competitions away from home, since the 2017-2018 season.

They actually have the worst away record in the division, managing to take just 6 points on the road all season.

I’m thinking they’ve rushed Calvert-Lewin back and he’s not scored a goal in 2022. That’s 7 games and a sign he’s not right.

I think Everton fans will be thanking me again later because I don’t see them winning at West Ham and because the Hammers are just 3 points of a European place next season and will go above Utd if they win, I have to say home win.

MY BETS

  • WEST HAM TO WIN @ 3/4
  • WEST HAM TO WIN TO NIL @ 15/8
  • WEST HAM TO WIN 2-0 @ 7/1

SPURS V NEWCASTLE

It’s job done at Newcastle. They are now safe, games in hand, while Spurs still have a chance of top four and I think the home side wins today.

Newcastle have now lost 2 games on the bounce and I’ll bet some of their players are now downing tools because they know they wont be there next year.

Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 games, and they have netted 2 goals in each of their last 5 games. If they beat Newcastle today they’ll win 3 games on the bounce for the 2nd time this season and when they did it in October, it was Newcastle they beat then, to get that hat-trick.

Newcastle have struggled all season to beat teams in the top half of the league. The 8 games they have played aginst those sides has seen them get just 1 point and any side Eddie Howe has managed against Spurs when he was at Bournemouth he lost. That was 5 games in total and the agregate score was 16-2 so I’m half expecting Spurs to give Newcastle a right old thumping today, despite Newcastle not letting in more than 1 goal in any of their last 11 matches. They have only conceded 8 in those 11 games.

MY BETS

  • SPURS TO WIN @ 1/2
  • SPURS TO WIN 3-0 @ 10/1
  • SPURS TO WIN 3-1 @ 11/1
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