Well I am basking in one of my few moments of glory having picked Scottie Scheffler as one of my three for the Masters last weekend and lo and behold, he did the business for us all at 16/1 and made up for far too many near misses over the last year or so.
As we all know, you are only as good as your last selection so we go again this week and although it is obviously a step down from last weekend’s sublime action, the winner still needs finding, and I have gone straight back to work to see if we can follow up this week in the RBC Heritage, from Harbour Town in South Carolina.
If you watched last weekend then you will soon notice a very different course here – its tight and errant driving is invariably punished severely, so we may well be looking for a very different kind of player if we want to find the winner here.
Be warned, this is seen by some of the players as a bit of relaxation after the Masters and I will be reducing my bet size accordingly – trying to find the golfer best suited by conditions is hard enough, but second guessing who is really “up for it” and who isn’t, is in the lap of the Gods.
Course: Par 71, 7,121 yards and with a water hazard on every hole.
Selections with reasoning:
***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around for best odds and best place terms and any special offers with the bookmakers to steal the most value, and DO check the exchanges for bigger prices – I can’t put them on here accurately as they differ by the minute. Betfair prices quoted are as indicators only and were correct at the time of writing.
1pt each way Kevin Kisner 40/1 top 8 places William Hill (50.0) Betfair)
There was a rick on the William Hill pricing here with 150/1 on offer when I looked but sadly I missed it (and I suspect they wouldn’t honour it anyway), but even the 40/1 looks generous enough to me. If you have a look back through his best efforts (and four PGA Tour wins), they have all been on short courses and all on Bermudagrass greens. -and that ticks two very important boxes here as far as I am concerned. He has only played this event three times, coming home second in 2015, eleventh in 2017 and seventh in 2018 – meaning he would have landed the place part of our bet on two of those three occasions. His 44th last weekend was far better than it looks at first glance (Augusta is not a course he is ever likely to win on), and his final round of three over was impressive when you remember only nine players broke par, plus the pairing with Tiger Woods will have put him in the media spotlight whether he wanted to or not. He likes the course, arrives in good form, and looks massively overpriced to me.
1pt each way Kevin Na 40/1 top 8 places Sky Bet and Coral (50.0 Betfair)
Like every golfer on the planet it’s all about the putter, and the flat stick did let him down last weekend at Augusta which is the one negative here. He has played here 14 times now (I’m ignoring 2005 when he withdrew through injury), hitting a top-ten spot on four occasions and that suggests the course plays to his strengths. For those fascinated by stats he ended last weekend as first for Greens in regulation, first for total accuracy, and first for strokes gained on approach, so how he has slipped under the radar here is beyond my tiny brain? When you add in the fact that all of his five PGA Tour victories have come at shorter courses (Par 70 or Par 71), and that he arrives here in very good form, if he can get the putter working again (and these greens will suit him much better), then he has to be in with a decent shout.
1pt each way Dustin Johnson 20/1 top 8 places William Hill (24.0 Betfair)
Dustin has not exactly fallen from the top of the golfing tree, as been pushed perhaps but his days of looking likely to dominate the sport for a decade are little more than a distant memory now. That said, he sems to be enjoying life these days which has seen him relax and lets face it, you don’t win 25 PGA tour events if you can’t hit a golf ball. A local lad who went to Coastal Carolina University, he will have the crowd on his side here which can only aid his cause, he has won three times on similar courses, and arrives here in great form after a 12th last weekend. It may have been a while since he won anything but he reached the semi-finals of the WGC Matchplay this year, and I just get the feeling that his next success isn’t that far away.