I do not like Epsom….no secret there, I’ve been telling people for years now that if they came up with a race they’d call the Derby today, it would never be run there. Any track that deliberately unbalances a horse would be a gaff track these days and it’s purely because of “tradition” that the race is run there.
I’ve scoured the four meetings taking place on turf today in search of one horse from each that gives our fun punters a chance of making a little profit off an e.w. acca.
SPIRITOFTHENORTH (2-10), is trained by top flat racing trainer Kevin Ryan but he has a decent record at Sedgefield, 2-7 with his hurdlers and when Brian Hughes has ridden this horse, his form figures read 2, 1
Currently around the 5/2 mark, he’s worth chucking into the e.w. acca.
Even horses that have run well here in the past often find themselves all over the place coming down the home straight, as the camber tries to drawm towards the rail and thoe horse fights it, trying to keep a straight line and basically ceasing to go forward. You’ll also see lots of “interference” in these races caused by the track, and not the horse, or the jockey.
I’m going to put up a previous course and distance winner, ARENAS DEL TIEMPO (2-55), who arrives fit and firing having raced three times already this season and Simon Dow booking Hollie Doyle to ride.
She rode the horse to win here back in August last year and Dow has booked her to ride for him three times at Epsom….and produced two winners. I’m seeing support for the horse, too 4/1 > 10/3 and that’s the second horse in today’s acca.
Here I’m torn. I’m seeing a proper gamble taking place in the opener, Jane Chapple-Hyam’s ALTO VOLANTE 13/2 > 5/2 and this Kingman gelding was moved from the Haggas yard this month, having not seen a racecourse since April 2021, when he finished 8th of 14 in a Windsor Handicap.
She has booked Adam Kirby to ride, something she has only done twice before at Yarmouth, which resulted in one winner so, a 50% strike rate as of this morning.
I’m also seeing lots of support for FRANKLIN WILLIAM (4-10), and this Frankel colt makes handicap debut this afternoon having got his official mark racing over a mile on the Southwell sands on April 1st. In that race he was a short head behind Crenelle, who came out 11 days later and won at Newmarket, so that form looks solid already.
Up in trip today (10f), he looks nailed on to hit the frame at the very least and if you threw either or both into your bet, they should do you proud.
I have effrectively given up on the jumpers now but I have seen a major punt on ROSE OHARA (5-20), as the openeing show of 10/1 has now been more than halved, 4/1 the best you can get.
Trained by Jamie Snowden, who has enjoyed a good season, he is still running a superb 53% RTF figure.
The booking of Gavin Sheehan is also a positive as he’s ridden 35 times for Snowden at Worcester and ridden eight winners ror him. I handicap chases at this track, Snowden has a more than decent 20% winners to runners ratio so the omens are good.
The only problem is, we have to finish first two here (small fields are blighting NH racing), but the market says she’ll run a big race and fingers crossed she does.
Best of luck!