A wonderful day for the Ratings!

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When we have days like yesterday come along, six meetings, 41 races, 11 of which are for “rating”, some with 20 or more runners, you sense a potentially difficult day of punting.

However, the Ratings, my own private handicapping system, have proven year on year to be seriously accurate.

The idea is to find the winner of each Rated race in my top three Rated horses and yesterday saw the following achieved:

🏇 NEWMARKET 3-50

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-L-M

✳️ – AL RUFAA….+11 (86%)

❓ § – SILENT FILM….+11 (58%)

§ – VAFORTINO….+11 (65%)

✳️ § – STAR OF ORION….+10 (65%)

✳️ ❓(MMM) – MONTASSIB….+9 (74%)

✳️ 3️⃣ T § – I’M A GAMBLER….+8 (55%)

✳️ – ACCIDENTAL AGENT….+8 (71%)

✳️ 3️⃣ ❓ (OMM) – SAMBURU….+6 (86%)

✳️ (MMM) T – RHOSCOLYN….+5 (44%)

✳️ – BLESS HIM….+4 (27%) – WON 25/1

✳️ – THE ATTORNEY….+2 (45%)

✳️ T § – PERSUASION….+1 (40%)

✳️ – JUMBY….±0 (71%)

✳️ T – TITAN ROCK….-6 (55%)

✳️ T – CRUYFF TURN….-12 (44%)

§ – ROPEY GUEST….-27 (100%)

§ – LORD RAPSCALLION….-29 (48%)

T – MASTER ZOFFANY….-40 (50%)

❓ – TOMMY DE VITO….-40 (45%)

T – IL BANDITO….-40 (75%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS SAMBURU

SCRIBBLINGS

No joy here as BLESS HIM came through to win his first race on turf since 2019 and that Rating was the best he could achieve applying the criteria I use.

🏇 NEWMARKET 5-00

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

 ✳️ T – KINGS PRINCE….+9 (55%)

3️⃣ (MMM) – ADJUVANT….+2 (65%)WON 11/4

✳️ 3️⃣ ❓ – BIZARRE LAW….-10 (60%)

✳️ T – COMMONSENSICAL….-18 (42%)

❓ – GLEN SAVAGE….-20 (86%)

3️⃣ ❓ – UDABERRI….-40 (50%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH

SCRIBBLINGS

Post Racing members knew the winner was “off”, highlighted in their third update Newsletter as a Market Mover – 11/2 > 4/1

The money kept coming for this horse and he duly obliged.

🏇 YORK 1-45

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

✳️ T – VIA SERENDIPITY….+10 (25%)

✳️ – GARDEN OASIS….±0 (44%)

(MMM) – EILEAN DUBH….-13 (56%)WON 4/1

3️⃣ ❓ – BLENHEIM BOY….-13 (50%)

(OMM) – CHALLET….-18 (58%)

✳️ – TAMMANI….-24 (44%)

✳️ – SCOTTISH SUMMIT….-29 (25%)

BLUE FOR YOU….-5 (44%)

YOUNG FIRE….-37 (44%)

ISLA KAI….-38 (54%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS CHALLET

SCRIBBLINGS

When working with the Ratings and applying the market movement to them, we constantly find a profit is made from them. Here our winner sat top three, was supported in the markets and won @ 4/1

🏇 YORK 4-05

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L-M-H

✳️ T – WHAT’S THE STORY….+9 (42%)

✳️ T – CHICHESTER….+9 (42%)

✳️ T – JUST FINE….+9 (58%)

✳️ – GREATGADIAN….+8 (74%)

✳️ ❓ T§ – MAHRAJAAN….+8 ((74%)

✳️ (OMM) T § – BRILLIANT LIGHT….+8 (64%)

§ – SPIRIT DANCER….+4 (50%)

✳️ (OMM) T – ROGUE BEAR….+2 (55%)

✳️ ❓ T  – ANMAAT….+2 (40%) – WON 5/1 JT FAV

✳️ § – LA TRINIDAD….-2 (48%)

✳️ T – CERTAIN LAD….-6 (30%)

✳️ § – BARYSHNIKOV….-6 (40%)

✳️ – FOREST FALCON….-7 (55%)

✳️ T § – CARADOC….-8 (52%)

T § – ACHELOIS….-9 (60%)

✳️ – THE CITY’S PHANTOM….-14 (25%)

✳️ – MARIE’S DIAMOND….-19 (48%)

✳️ ❓ T – FIRST VIEW….-21 (64%)

✳️ T – JEWEL IN MY CROWN….-25 (75%)

COCKALORUM….-37 (48%)

T – GOOD BIRTHDAY….-40 (60%)

T §. – INTELLOGENT….-40 (42%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH BRILLIANT LIGHT

SCRIBBLINGS

The introduction of the question mark icon is a crucial addition to our arsenal. It indicates a horse that has been so lightly raced on turf that is is likely to improve significantly on my Rating for that horse. ANMAAT was available at twice those odds when my Newsletter went out but from midday it was clear he was the horse to be with as his price collapsed.

There is nothing I or anyone else can do in those circumstances and you just have to say, “they got me!”

🏇 YORK 5-15

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

✳️ T – SURPRISE PICTURE….+8 (42%)

✳️ – MUSCIKA….+8 (44%)

✳️ § – AS IF BY CHANCE….+7 (54%)

✳️ § – EQUIANO SPRINGS….+4 (0%)

✳️ – ADMIRALITY….+3 (48%)

§ – INTERNATIONAL GIRL….-1 (50%)

✳️ § – GOOD EARTH….-3 (0%) – WON 11/1

✳️ (OMM) T H § – DANCINGINTHEWOODS….-4 (58%)

✳️ – HARD NUT – -5 (56%)

GOLDEN APOLLO….-10 (44%)

✳️- PEARL OF QATAR….-12 (17%)

✳️ § – JORDAN ELECTRICS….-12 (36%)

BRAZEN BOLT….-13 (55%)

✳️ – WENTWORTH FALLS….-19 (25%)

✳️ – BALLINTOY HARBOUR….-21 (39%)

✳️ – MARK’S CHOICE….-23 (44%)

§ – DANZAN….-28 (44%)

ROUNDHAY PARK….-30 (54%)

RUNNINWILD….-31 (55%)

T H – POCKLEY….-37 (56%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS DANCINGINTHEWOODS

SCRIBBLINGS

I read the draw right, but not a lot else. It happens and we win some, we lose some, as you’ll see as you continue to read!

🏇 ASCOT 3-00

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-M-L

✳️ (OMM) – TONE THE BARONE….+9 (48%)

✳️ § – MOUNTAN PEAK….+9 (52%) – WON 11/1

✳️ § – WHENTHEDEALINISDONE….+8 (45%)

✳️ 3️⃣ – LOVELY MANA….+1 (55%)

✳️ – TABDEED….+1 (57%)

✳️ – DANZENO….-6 (66%)

3️⃣ § – GET AHEAD….-7 (55%)

✳️ T – NOMADIC EMPIRE….-7 (44%)

(MMM) – EQUALITY….-12 (45%)

✳️ T § – SALUTI….-12 (39%)

✳️ T § – VENTUROUS….-15 (40%)

✳️ T H. – ALLIGATOR ALLEY….-15 (44%)

STONE OF DESTINY….-15 (60%)

§ – CAIRN GORM….-17 ( 65%)

✳️ T – ZARZYNI….-18 (40%)

✳️ T – BURNING CASH….-20 (39%)

3️⃣ – CORAZON….-31 (55%)

T § – COUNT D’ORSAY….-35 (44%)

T – DIGITAL….-36 (48%)

3️⃣ T – BOND CHAIRMAN….-40 (50%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS EQUALITY

SCRIBBLINGS

I read the draw right, the Ratings were right, and we had a lovely 11/1 winner in my top two rated horses. A 3-y-o very nearly spoiled the party (the bane of my life, they are!), but we nailed a profit and that’s all that matters.

🏇 ASCOT 5-20

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

3️⃣ (MMM) – TARRAAB….+8 (40%)WON 10/3

3️⃣ (OMM) – OUT FROM UNDER….-23 (64%)2ND 13/8

✳️ – MR TYRELL….-24 (48%)

✳️ – SAYIFYOUWILL….-29 (11%)

✳️ – KIMIFIVE….-35 (0%)

✳️ 3️⃣ – RAWYAAN….-35 (27%)

CANOODLED….-40 (52%)

3️⃣ (OMM) H – AL AMEEN….-40 (55%)

RICH WATERS….-40 (64%)

ARCADIAN NIGHTS….-40 (47%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS AL AMEEN

SCRIBBLINGS

A lovely top two 1-2, both horses having been indicated to Post Racing members as Market Movers earlier yesterday morning. The winner was 9/1 > 5/1 and was another to see sustained support throughput the day, before winning easily @ 10/3.

🏇 CHESTER 5-30

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

✳️ T – URBAN WAR….-8 (58%) – 2ND 6/1

✳️ T – INNSE GALL….-22 (41%)

✳️ – LITTLE TED….-24 (44%)

ANGELS LANDING….-38 (52%)

✳️ – CELTIC EMPRESS….-40 (55%)

THE NEW MARWAN….-40 (50%) – WON 7/1

VISIBILITY….-40 (52%)

H – HEADINGLY…..-40 (44%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH

SCRIBBLINGS

No joy here in a race that Rated very weakly, everything having a minus Rating attached to them. The winner has a very weird profile. Not won since 2019, that over six furlongs. He had been running over 12 furlongs and been beaten but they dropped him to 10 furlongs yesterday and he goes in. One of those races that would have been played to minimum stakes.

🏇 SALISBURY 8-15

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

PRIDE OF NEPAL….+19 (100%)

✳️ (MMM) – GENESIUS….-5 (80%)

✳️ – CROESO CYMRAEG…..-22 (25%) – WON 11/4

✳️. – WINKLEVI….-24 (48%)

WAY OF LIFE….-40 (44%)

✳️ – LADY RESET….-40 (65%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH

SCRIBBLINGS

A top three winner….just….but “just” paid us a profit and I will always be happy with a profit!

🏇 HAMILTON 7-00

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

✳️ T – DUTCH DECOY….+11 (55%) – WON 10/1

✳️ T – COSMOS RAJ….+10 (44%)

❓ – TWO AULD PALS….±0 (50%)

BRINGITONBORIS….-3 (42%)

3️⃣ T – HE’S A GENTLEMAN….-6 (42%)

3️⃣ ❓ T – ANA GOLD….-9 (50%)

3️⃣ ❓ (OMM) T – MUHTASHIM….-40 (62%)

STAKE MANAGEMENT

TOP THREE DUTCH PLUS MUHTASHIM

SCRIBBLINGS

My top rated winning a race is never the most important thing but it’s always nice when the figures get it right, as well as producing me a profit.

🏇 HAMILTON 7-30

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – 

WICKYWICKYWHEELS….+9 (50%) – WON 17/2

(MMM) – HAIZOOM….+5 (42%)

✳️ – GRAND CANAL….+2 (50%)

3️⃣ ❓ T – PONT AELIUS….-34 (55%)

✳️ T – BLISTERING BARNAY….-38 (33%)

3️⃣ ❓ T – BRAZILIAN BEACH….-40 (44%)

DIOCLETIAN….-40 (42%)

W2 H – RED MISSILE….-40 (80%)

3️⃣ ❓ (MMM) T – NOVA LEGEND….-40 (63%)

SCRIBBLINGS

DITTO….My top rated winning a race is never the most important thing but it’s always nice when the figures get it right, as well as producing me a profit and Hamilton was very good to us last night.

Seven of the 11 Rated races yesterday produced profit and on a busy day like that was yesterday, I have to be chuffed to bits by those results, 25%+ of them also finding us a top Rated winner 10/1, 17/2 and 10/3.

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