Drivers ready for the BMW!

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Well I am basking in the glory (for a change) after we picked up at 20/1 place and a 25/1 winner from the three selections last week, though it was squeaky bum time as we had to stay up late for the third hole of the play-off before Will Zalatoris finally won to land our bets.

This week we move on to the next stage of the Fed Ex with the BMW Championships where the field is cut to 70 (now 68 after the withdrawals of Cameron Smith quoting hip discomfort but rumoured to be heading to the dreaded Saudi tour for megabucks, and Tommy Fleetwood who is taking time out to be with his family), and we are talking about some serious money at stake as those at the top of the ranking look to cement their place before the final Fed-ex event next week.

Off we go to Delaware for the first time and the South Course at the Wilmington Country club, who are hosting their first PGA Tour event which won’t make my life any easier with a lack of course form to work with – and even those who have played it won’t recognise the rebuild forced by a tornado in 202-0 that ripped out hundreds of trees in a matter of minutes.

What we do know is it weighs in at 7,534 yards with 71 the par score (I can only dream), and a quick look at the overhead view will soon show you we are talking plenty of horrendous bunkers, and a couple of long par 5’s with the 12th a 634 yard monster and the 14th an even worse 649 yards! Conversely, the par-4s see five of them measuring in at less than 430 yards – so we are looking at a field day for the bigger straighter drivers, assuming they can then hone in on the greens which may be huge – but will also be heavily watered in the expected temperatures, which will enciurage some attacking iron play when the chips are down.

On to finding the winner – fingers crossed…

Selections with reasoning:

***NOTE*** Different bookmakers are offering different each way terms so do shop around for best odds and best place terms and any special offers with the bookmakers to steal the most value and DO check the exchanges for bigger prices – I can’t put them on here accurately as they differ by the minute. Betfair prices quoted are as indicators only and were correct at the time of writing.

1pt each way Jon Rahm 14/1 top 7 places William Hill (16.0 Betfair)

There is a lot to like about the Spaniards chances here with his Fed-Ex record second to none in recent years. Last week he went almost unnoticed before finishing fifth, but the stats form that event suggest he can do the same or better here. He ranked fifth in that field for tee to green (which I feel will be all-important here), top three off the tee, and if his putter had come to life before the final round, then he may well have walked away the winner. He seems at ease with himself now after the birth of his son, and arrives here with less expectations than some, meaning the pressure is off. Class is permanent as they say, and all the talk about other players will let him do his talking with his clubs, and I fully expect a decent showing this week, though I had expected a bigger price.   

1pt each way Cameron Young 28/1 top 7 places Sky Bet (30.0 Betfair)

Zalatoris got off the mark for us last week and who is to say that Young cannot do the same here? His supporters surely cannot be too upset at picking up some place money pretty much all season with a second in the Open, the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and the Wells Fargo, as well as a third at the PGA Championship and he certainly deserves a maiden victory. In the last three month he ranks number one for strokes gained off the tee and ninth for strokes gained tee to green, and this course looks likely to play to all his strengths. Unlike Rahm 28/1 looks a cracking price and as long as his bottle holds out, he looks to have an outstanding chance.

1pt each way Adam Scott 55/1 top 7 places Sky Bet (85.0 Betfair)

I once met Adam Scott’s sister in a Los Angeles bar (don’t ask) and have always looked out for him ever since – though she insisted she was the better golfer back then. Unlike some he currently sits at 45 in the fed-ex ranking and he needs a top 30 position to make the final week, so we can expect a measured approach for the first two rounds before he launches an all-out attack if necessary. His fifth last weekend at St Judes will have given his ego a boost, and although well-known for missing short putts (I know how he feels), that wasn’t the case last week where he finished number one for strokes gained on the dancefloor. That seems to have gone under the bookies’ radar and at 66/1 I can’t resist a quid or two each way at a course that looks sure to play to all of his strengths.

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