Winners galore last weekend and it looks easy as shelling peas this!

0
The World of Sport
The World of Sport
Winners galore last weekend and it looks easy as shelling peas this!
Loading
/

This week we discuss the Ascot farce last weekend, whether racing should be called off if they do not attract enough runners, and the new whip rules about to come into force.

Below you have my side of the conversation regarding the weekends races with Sean’s selections attached.

Friday

1.55pm Newbury

STAGE STAR is the standout here. He looked very decent when beating WEST CORK by 13 lengths on seasonal debut and that one has since got within 16 lengths of JONBON at Warwick.

Obviously JONBON won as he liked, and that distance could have been trebled but STAGE STAR did nothing wrong on chasing debut and he’ll be odds on tomorrow to make 2-2 following a wind-op.

He’s also the only previous winner in here around Newbury, where he is 2-2 and he’s also 4-5 at the trip.

His race to lose.

RON – STAGE STAR

SEAN – WONDERWALL

3.05pm Newbury

If ever I have seen a race full of “could have beens”, this is it. Every horse in here was touted as being very good as one time or another but they very rarely deliver.

BEER GOGGLES won this @ 40/1 five years ago but eight of the last 10 winners were front three on the tissue and right now they are:

  • CHAMP
  • PROSCHEMA
  • PAISLEY PARK

The first and third named are now both 10 years olds….good ones but, 10 year olds and only one of that age has taken this race before….our very own UNOWHATIMEANHARRY in 2018.

The winning most age group is 7-y-o’s….and PROSCHEMA is a seven year old.

Everything points to the Skelton runners, who arrives having dotted up from THOMAS DARBY, who takes him on again here, at Wetherby.

I have to work with PROSCHEMA, who has only ever followed up a win, with another win, once….but that’s the type of horses we are working with here….I’d not even rule out TEA CLIPPER, who goes back over hurdles for the first time since 2021 when he won four and placed in three of his eight runs over them.

RON – PROSCHEMA

SEAN – CHAMP

Saturday

12.45pm Newbury

Just four runners currently declared and if they have the same issues as Ascot last weekend, we could see another walkover! AHOY SENOR took this last year and he was representing by far the strongest age group historically, when it comes to finding the winner of this….six year olds have won five of the last 10 and three of the last four and the only runner of that age in here is GELINO BELLO, one of two he has in the race and ridden by the stable jockey. Nicholls has won two of the last three running’s of this and I’ll trust him to get the job done again.

RON – GELINO BELLO

SEAN – THYME HILL

1.00pm Newcastle

Only four runners again….and three of the last four winners went in 50/1, 40/1, & 10/1….traditionally you want to be front three on the tissue, and you definitely want to be arriving a five year old because eight of the last 10 winners were….in fact, the last seven were and as we have just one of that age group in here…and purely for Podcast purposes, I’ll put up Nigel’s IMPERIAL B G

He is the only runner yet to achieve an official mark but he was fancied first time up, going off favourite at Wetherby.

MOFASA arrives unbeaten in two this season and of the three with a rating he is simply miles clear.

I’d not be betting here but just because I’ve looked at it, and stats don’t lie, IMPERIAL B G for me.

RON – IMPERIAL B G

SEAN – MOFASA

2.03pm Bangor

Interesting little race, this.

Only eight previous running’s of it but six have gone to the front two on the tissue so that’s where I’m looking for my winner.

Just one of the nine runners has an official rating and that’s just 87 so I doubt MAISIEBELLA wins anything because if some of those very lightly raced ones are not better than 87, I’ll eat my Panama.

The market has three very tight at the top, GRAIN D’OUDAIRIES 9/4, DUKE OF MORAVIA 11/4 and GWENNIE MAY BOY 11/4 so between now and off time, anything could happen.

As it stands I have to pick between the first two named and I’m going to suggest DUKE OF MORAVIA, who ran on really well behind a Longsden hotpot a couple of weeks ago and he was looked after by Harry Cobden that day.

My reason for selecting this one is because I cannot find a previous winner that was making seasonal debut, nor winning off the back of just one racecourse appearance, which scuppers the current favourite.

Obviously we have to see what the market does between now and Saturday afternoon but for now, DUKE OF MORAVIA, than you very much!

RON – DUKE OF MOARAVIA

SEAN – GRAIN D’OUDAIRIES

2.10pm Newcastle

A joke of a race. Henderson has put CONSTITUTION HILL in here having missed last weekend and he’s going to be long odds on to beat his stable companion EPATANTE, who would have been long odds on to beat the others had next years Champion Hurdle winner not been here.

RON – CONSITUTION HILL

SEAN – CONSITUTION HILL

2.30pm Newbury (handicap)

The Gerry Fielden….I’m a traditionalist and always remember what these races were always called before the bookmakers started taking over the sponsorship….just like the Hennessey will always be the Hennessey.

Anyway, only eight going to post, which is a shame as profiling goes out of the window with such small fields I’m afraid. I was going to start by saying you need to be aged four, five or six….but all eight qualify.

Weight ranges are all over the place, too so my plan here is to suggest we go first four in the betting, but also considering dropping the favourite because they have only won three in the last decade, six going to the 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourites. The last two winners were priced 10/1 & 8/1

Nicky Henderson has absolutely farmed this in the last 10 years, winning four and placing with four, from just 12 runners.

He has FIRST STREET and THEATRE GLORY in here right now, both making seasonal debut, as were his last two winners of this, EPATANTE and FLORESSA.

Currently 4/1 & 9/2 respectively, I’d happily dutch based on what I’ve said but since the market opened THEATRE GLORY’s price has fluctuated….opened 10/3 favourite, hit 5/1, now 9/2….FIRST STREET, 7/2 > 4/1….but the jockey bookings suggest FIRST STREET is strongest as James Bowen, who Henderson uses a heck of a lot these days, rides whilst the 7lb claimed Nathan Brennan rides THEATRE GLORY.

A 20/80 FIRST STREET is my preferred, if I have to select one, which I do!

RON – FIRST STREET – 20/80

SEAN – THEATRE GLORY

OMMS

  • WHISPERING ROYAL – 20/1 > 11/1 – WON 11/2
  • LECALE’S APPROACH – 33/1 > 14/1 – WON 12/1
  • MOROVAL – 150/1 > 50/1 – WON 100/1

Something for the weekend

RON – PROSCHEMA

SEAN – WALKING ON AIR (Newbury 1-55, Saturday)

- PLAY EUROMILLIONS! -
Previous articleThe Goal Post “Predict The Score” Competition – How to play!
Next articleOuija Board, prize money, the Handicap Ombudsman and more Saturday winners than you can shake a stick at!