The final Podcast of 2022 and at the end Sean offers you something left field for Boxing Day….I certainly didn’t see it coming!
Below you have the text of my side of the races discussed for Boxing Day’s top quality Kempton card!
Only six going to post and the first thing I do is rule out anything aged 10 because Elvis was still around when a 10 year old won, if one ever has?
Only one six year old has won in the last decade and so I am left to work with MIRANDA.
Since the market opened she has been the one for money, 9/2 > 3/1, whilst CHAMP….who I can never get right….is 7/4 > 2/1
PAISLEY PARK has also drifted 9/4 > 3/1
MIRANDA is also the only horse in here with CD form and I do not believe there is a better rider of a hurdler right now that Harry Cobden. I’ve felt that since I first saw him.
Thing is, CHAMP is rated 15lb superior to MIRANDA and only has to give her 7lb.
I’ll probably just watch this race but for the Podcast I’ll say she’ll beat him
RON – MIRANDA
SEAN – GOSHEN
Only six again here going to post as I type and all the money is for MCFABULOUS, 13/8 > 11/10….that, of course, has happened since Nicholls said he was going to win next years King George with this horse.
MCFABULOUS is currently 2-2 at the track, 4-7 at the trip, and none of the others taking part has winning form at Kempton. Four are here for the first time, including THYME HILL, who cannot jump fences and will be back over hurdles come Cheltenham.
Everything else is on the drift in this market and I’m looking forward to seeing MCFABULOUS stake his claim to next years King George.
RON – MCFABULOUS
SEAN – MCFABULOUS
Barring accidents, CONSTITUTION HILL wins this pulling a caravan but he’s already 1/6 to win on Boxing Day.
If I were looking for a little sneaky place play I’d go with SCEAU ROYAL but expect Nicky Henderson to be winning his seventh Christmas Hurdle in 11 years.
RON – CONSTITUTION HILL
SEAN – CONSTITUTION HILL
The market suggests this is between BRAVEMANSGAME and L’HOMME PRESSE. It is 11/2 bar that pair and the other seven are drifting like barges.
The stablemate of BRAVEMANSGAME, HITMAN, is currently third favourite @ 11/2, having been as short as 7/2 but he is already 0-6 on the ground as currently described and has never gone three miles. If he’s genuinely considered third best by the layers then I’m definitely with one of the front two on the tissue.
I’d love the layers though, to tell me how they make L’HOMME PRESSE second favourite, when he’s officially 6lb the better horse of the two and they race off level weights?
I felt more impressed by L’HOMME PRESSE giving nearly two stone to the horse he beat on seasonal debut, than I was BRAVEMANSGAME beating ELDORADO ALLEN getting 3lb off the Tizzard horse.
Common sense tells me 2/1 about the better horse on paper, is the value here.
RON – L’HOMME PRESSE
SEAN – AHOY SENOR
3 – CARBON KING – 20/1 > 17/2 – WON 9/4F
2 – REGAL RENNAISANCE – 14/1 > 7/1 – WON 9/1
1 – THE TRIFECTA SOME MEMBERS LANDED ON 14TH DECEMBER, THAT PAID 901/1, USING THE TRIO OF OMMS THAT WERE ALL HIGHLIGHTED AS STRONG IN THAT LINGFIELD 1-55PM RACE!
Something for the weekend
RON – TREBLE – L’HOMME PRESSE, MCFABULOUS, CONSTITUTION HILL
SEAN – AHOY SENOR AND WALK IN THE STORM (Wetherby) – TWO E.W SINGLES AND AN E.W. DOUBLE