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Beaten Favourites Experiment

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  • #1616
    Ron Robinson
    Keymaster

    Hopefully this gets a few members looking in, using the Forums here and becoming part of the “team”.

    I’m going to continue this trial here and already I’ve two filters to apply. In races of 12 or more runners, those horses starting 25/1 or bigger will be removed. In races of single figure fields, those horses trading 12/1 or bigger, will be removed but in the first instance I’ll produce the full list so that you can also apply filters of your own.

    If you find something, share it with your fellow members on here.

    I’ll restart this from Monday 24/05/21

    #1714
    Thefightingfifth
    Participant

    Its 13th June Ron. Did you decide additional work wasn’t worth it?

    #2475
    Spireman
    Participant

    Postponed OMMS
    Last week there were a few OMMs at Hamilton and the meeting was called off so I wondered if these OMMs would be worth following and have put them in my tracker. Only one has run again so far and that was secend beaten a head at Chester at 8/1 so the signs are good.

    #4875
    Spireman
    Participant

    I can see a profit from identifying BFs but only if you follow strict rules. As gamblers you will not be able to control yourself and you will lose and blame me Ron or the system.
    1 obviously BF last time out
    2 is BF the last two times out a benefit or a warning? You decide.
    3 Drifting in the market? Leave it alone.
    4 fancied again (in first three in the betting)
    5 sprint race? Has the horse run in the last 7 days. Sprinters hit form but tend to retain it only for a week or so.
    6 when was the horse a BF? If it was over 90 days and it hasn’t run under different rules since then ignore. E.g. flat race horse BF last time but 200 days ago. Has a run over jumps two weeks ago so is race fit, so look for value.
    7 look for a top trainer or top jockey or both this increases the chances.
    8 look for course and distance winners that have been away from the track for a while.
    9. Won two races ago but BF last time out. Check the grade of the races, odds, etc
    10.BF two races ago but lost last time out. Check grade, distance, jockey, odds and course, draw, CD liking, jockey record.

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