Reply To: Beaten Favourites Experiment

[Spireman]

I can see a profit from identifying BFs but only if you follow strict rules. As gamblers you will not be able to control yourself and you will lose and blame me Ron or the system.
1 obviously BF last time out
2 is BF the last two times out a benefit or a warning? You decide.
3 Drifting in the market? Leave it alone.
4 fancied again (in first three in the betting)
5 sprint race? Has the horse run in the last 7 days. Sprinters hit form but tend to retain it only for a week or so.
6 when was the horse a BF? If it was over 90 days and it hasn’t run under different rules since then ignore. E.g. flat race horse BF last time but 200 days ago. Has a run over jumps two weeks ago so is race fit, so look for value.
7 look for a top trainer or top jockey or both this increases the chances.
8 look for course and distance winners that have been away from the track for a while.
9. Won two races ago but BF last time out. Check the grade of the races, odds, etc
10.BF two races ago but lost last time out. Check grade, distance, jockey, odds and course, draw, CD liking, jockey record.